Want to change the world? Live a soul driven life.

What’s just struck me is that of all the common resources most desecrated, injustices most lubricating to the machine of our modern world (and in truth the story of all human history as such), is that of soul. It is no accident that slavery was most fervently defended by those wishing to deny the fundamental ensouledness of the blacks enslaved, nor today’s oil-slicked march over the corpse of the wild by those who deny any soul peers back at them from the old trees felled, the tattered chickens in their feedlots, the child assembling their smartphone. This is not new territory— there are no shortage of broadsides against consumerism, racism, colonialism, corporatism, capitalism— all of these ‘isms’ whose fundamental premise is the soullessness of the Other. And if to see the soul of the other we must see a reflection of ourselves, is there any doubt that the root diagnosis we face is blindness to the paths our owns souls dance?
The soul-shaped hole is bottomless. It can remain empty even when filled with any amount of grasping; more food, more information, more smooth skin, more comfort, more selfies, more things, more outrage, more church, more friends, more hashtags, more causes, more gurus, more shiny lights, more VC funding, more awareness, more security, more blood. It swallows all this and demands more. And when that void is reflected back onto balance sheets and mineral rights, electoral colleges and shipping contracts, all in the hope that the next hit will hold, is it any wonder that we live in the world we do?

It is a cruel irony that the most accepted meme of our age is the sanctity of personal freedom— it is the base justification of our economic apologetics, the higher road of our arguments, the base appeal of our politics. It is ironic because what freedom could be more complete than real communion with our own soul and its reflection of the broader universe, and cruel because it is stamped on a machine that burns soul as fuel.

Could you imagine a world of soul? A world-spanning tea ceremony, each object loved, each pleasure savored, each glance pregnant with the ecstatic immediacy of being? The strong called to give and the struggling called to gracefully receive? A world in which we can feel the grief of loss in bass relief, making all more courageous the decision to step forward, all more gentle the arms of all those extended out to hold us? A world in which our unique talents are called, our idiosyncracies embraced, our common humanity understood?

Cruelty will never end, nor hunger, nor pain. In the face of that, what more can we do than shine with all the brilliance we can muster? Than live, soulfully, willfully, in awe and honor and terror of the great ocean of which we are but a brief wave?

Tapping the Power of Boredom

I have spent much of my life avoiding boredom. I reach for my phone in the hazy period after waking up- every time I head towards the bathroom, start browsing Netflix as I encounter unscheduled nights and sick days.

I have no interest in pamphleteering against the digital takeover of much of our waking hours, rather, it is what is turned away from, less than what is turned away to that catches my attention.

Attention. It’s a funny thing. My most comfortable state is to have it directed by something or someone else, to have my limbs and thoughts activated by the boxes of my calendar, my mind led along by the thread of an article, my heart with the stories and presence of a friend. As I reach for my phone standing up from the table or waiting for the water to fill in the kitchen, I see the grasp for similar guidance, but what is it I am striving to avoid? What do I experience when I do not immediately scratch that habitual itch?

What I have found, in that meandering stretch of road, those moments of waiting for my wife to finish her makeup, the hazy unfilled moments of waking and sleep, is the equisite gift of boredom. In the silence of the radio left untouched, the fluttering of mind left untwittered, is an invitation, a sadly rare opportunity to wallow in the experience of being.

What are some things I’ve found there?

There is my body, my nervous system buzzing electrically with the environment around me, my stomach gurgling plaintively, digesting far more of my stresses than it likely should, my intestines earnestly harvesting the remains of my dinner. There are my muscles and bones, settling and groaning and yearning for this movement or that. There are my lungs, rising and falling in trusted exchange with the cool air and greater world around me. There is my heart, tirelessly holding the rhythm of my life, spilling over with love and pain and many other things beyond the scope of this writing.

There is my mind, its jitters and words, its blissful open spaces and rigid scripts, its surprising conjurings. There is the running water, the cushions under my back, the hum of the heating unit and the sense that something sacred has occurred. Is occuring. Is always occuring.

Boredom is an invitation to prayer, to gratitude, to the surprises of restlessness and the sudden poignancies of everyday life. Boredom is an invitation to receive all the world has to offer, or feel into the many ways it feels too much to hold.

Boredom is not always easy, though our culture often paints it with the brush of laziness. Engaging with it, being with it, savoring it, demands an act of will, and not often a comfortable one. Fully accepting boredom’s invitation necessitates fully being with ourselves. That is the cost. That is the gift.

It’s a messy thing having a body

It’s a messy thing having a body. Pain courses down my back. The brief limp to the park and back was an agonizing trek— muscles and nerves groaning and seizing in protest— a gracious woman at least twice my age stopping to ask if I needed a ride the three blocks home.
 .
I feel a sense of understanding for the brutality of the contemplative “ascenders,” of all those who’ve tasted the universal light of upper worlds with their ease and compassion and called fearfully the world of their own two feet damned. I feel compassion for Descartes, finding his self in his thoughts at the expense of his body and the broader incarnate world he called only “extension,” for all those church fathers and Lamas and philosophers who said, essentially, the real, true, beautiful part of us, the best thing it has to look forward to, is to leave. To transcend, see serenely from on high, to connect to the world at most as a witness. It’s painful to feel so acutely ourselves— to be lost in the depths of our yearnings and despairs and passions, to feel childlike and alone before death, to wish for glory and revenge and comfort and safety and escape and all those other things that drive men mad.
 .
It’s a messy thing having a body. To be woven of blood and bone and bile and its relentless, violent cycling into the seething mass of earth of which its made. Locked into the smallness of ourselves and our needs we feel the bigness of physical necessity and the capriciousness of suffering. But there is more there too, even in the pain— the soothing cool sweetness of the banana mango smoothie just enjoyed, the blissful release of urine after a long trip, the glorious settling of bones when a comfortable chair has been reached. Feeling so utterly locked into the crucible of bodily experience is a messy, painful, and in its own inscrutable way glorious thing. I say this as one part of me yearns to be away from the feelings of my body and the broader world in which it is fearfully embedded— while yet another wishes simply to curl up with my body, somewhere gentle and warm, held in the arms of my love. Where my vital heritage, the dark earth and deep water and pulsing magma, who take so many forms all around and within me, can nurse me softly back to health.

The Fragmenting of Identity

fragmented
I see us swimming in a process of fragmentation so rapid and widespread that we barely realize it’s happening. Never have so many people been told to choose their identity from so many overlapping and conflicting offerings– nor been assailed on so many fronts by entities battling for it (you could argue modern capitalism has been dependent on the constant creation of new identities and shames). At the same time, the process of fragmentation is beginning to consume its own foundations– it’s a small ripple, growing larger, but it seems to me more people than ever questioning the more fundamental given identities (in America) of consumer, worker, father, mother, homeowner, solider, member of a participatory civic structure.
.
The whole idea of “choosing” or “forging” an identity is radically new, and still meaningless for much of the world, though I imagine this is changing as internet is distributed more broadly and population mobility increases, for better and worse. Given identities seem to offer something more solid– being born belonging, until death, to a parish, a vocation, a particular configuration of hills and rivers and the stories told about them, to a god or an orthodoxy or a tribe with an indubitable sense of place in the world. It’s interesting to look at tribal identities– they often have elaborate stories about their place in the world drawn from a particular creation myth (with later stories often offering unflattering portrayals of those nearby to cement what is worthwhile and different.)
.
This drops us off in a funny place. The fragmentation of the past 12,000 years has left us without identity in land, nature, spirit, tribe, age, church, country, race, rank, and now increasingly work. You see the violent reactions in desperation for a coherent identity to cling on to– or the almost manic desire to fulfill an imposed image from the past. Now amongst our peers (and myself, often) a flurry of activity, almost like a man in the process of starving, to find some shred of identity in our impact or our experiences, in some heroic identity that seems like a last walkway between the wheezing, bloblike expectations of the past and what appears to be an unbearable unknowing on the other side.
.
It’s that other side– that unbearable unknowing– that I’m diving into. Because the truth is, it is what we swim in all the time without knowing or wanting to acknowledge. Identities are comfortable, they give us a story with which to make order of an inherently chaotic future. I’ve spent plenty of time obsessing (and in weaker moments still do) over professional and vocational identity, role on a team, ability to produce– one because I identified my self worth in work, but I believe also because doing that was some kind of comfort that the future was within my power. It would be silly to say they don’t work that way, at all– many people have led comfortable lives associating with a group or professional identity that has, very tangibly, created their lives. But that is also, I think, what has hurt the most when stripped away.
.
I offer that there is another way– that there is an “I” behind our everyday “I” with which we can identify, and in it, let go of the need for identification. That dissolving of identity has allowed me, in better moments, to connect in ways I never imagined possible to all those things bigger than me that in searching for an external identity I really, secretly wanted. It’s like dying to be really alive, and it’s hard, and I stray, and get anxious, and seek validation and a box to call mine and all that, but I know having tasted all those True things that these lapses are true only with a lower-case “t”. Seeking identity is what takes me out of situations, rather than into them– what keeps me from being with others as they are and in doing so opening the gates of unconditional love, what keeps me in the illusion that I am on the earth and under the stars, rather than an inseparable piece, a gloriously imagining, pissing, shitting, eating, loving part of their very hearts.
.
There is no identity I’ve found that can give me anything greater than learning to identify with my essential self and the larger currents and eddies of which it is a part.

A Resilient Society

Why is resilience so important? While it’s nearly impossible to foresee and plan for every future event, there are attributes that can help a person or system to better adapt to any change, and find fulfillment in the vast range of circumstance that the world tends to offer. Because the impact of change on our lives often depends on the gap between our expectations and our reality, one could go so far as to say that lack of resilience is one of the key causes of suffering, whether starvation and disease in the wake of overtaxing the environment, or economic depression in the wake of over-sold debt.  I worry we’ve created a culture and social structure that undermines the resilience of our selves, our communities, and our broader environment. While this blog will look at specific constructive responses in the future, the positive principles discussed below can offer a general set of ideas to begin applying in our day-to-day lives.

This is the second of a three part series on resilience, concentrating on the factors that contribute to the resilience of a system. The first part (on ecological resilience) you can find here.

It is impossible to separate our own resilience from the resilience of the communities of which we are a part. While personal equipoise and strength can overcome many of the obstacles around us, economic crises, famine, war, strife and more subtly the decline of values and knowledge that support our own personal resilience can have profound effects on our lives. More positively, our communities provide our best hope of tackling large problems, and creating a sound foundation for resilient and happy lives.

What is social resilience? I’m going to get a bit theoretical, so bear with me. In general, I think of social resilience as the ability of a society to maintain or reassemble it’s primary functions and benefits as the world around it changes. Like the way we ride a bicycle, society maintains its overall balance by making all kinds of small adjustments as conditions change. However, in the same way that once we tilt too far to one side on our bike, the cyclical forces at play turn from stabilizing to de-stabilizing, and we crash. In this sense, I think it’s most useful to think of resilience as the range of conditions a society can face wherein its self-stabilizing cycles continue to function.

I think all of this is easier to take in graphically. In the pictures below, the green line (1) is the “maximum inputs”, ie. the best conditions an environment can provide if everything is working perfectly—so the most fresh water the system can generate, the most sun, the most energy, the most food, the least disturbance in weather or geology, the most technological innovation, fully-functioning financial systems, maximum demand for products produced by that society, etc. The red line (2) is the “resilience threshold,” the minimum state of conditions under which a society can maintain its functions (beyond which self-reinforcing cycles drive it to chaos). The gap between these two (3) is the system’s “structural resilience”, ie. the range of conditions under which the society will maintain its self-stabilizing functions.  Finally, the black line (4) is the conditions themselves as experienced by the society, which can be thought of most importantly in terms of its “variability”, ie. how much these conditions tend to differ from one period to the next. An important part of this variability is that because the conditions the society faces are an aggregate of different interacting pieces, the variability of the overall conditions the society faces will be less than the variability of the individual pieces—ie. a society that has multiple ways of producing food would see less variability in its conditions even if the weather is bad.

I think this model is useful for visualizing the resilience of a society. For example, below is what a modern high-tech, high complexity society would look like under this model. In this kind of society, maximum inputs are extremely high because technology, complex coordination and significant physical capital allows for exploitation of wide range of resources (think massive offshore oil platforms, city-sized fishing boats, the ability to blow the top of mountains for minerals, etc.) These characteristics similarly make for an objectively high-demand but stable use of inputs—complex societies allow for the transfer of food and energy across vast distances, rapid and widescale responses to disasters, etc. However, this apparent stability and the history of continually increasing ability to generate inputs also leads the resilience threshold to rise precipitously—the fabric of modern society nearly collapsed over an entirely self-generated financial crisis with no actual external change. Similarly, dependence on very high amounts of energy for every activity and a high degree of specialization (discussed below) means a drop in inputs that could not be met could very easily lead to self-reinforcing disorganization.

Non-Resilient High-Tech/High Energy/High Complexity Society

 

While I’ve found its often fashionable amongst a certain strain of environmentalist to see low-tech societies in a positive light, it ignores the high rate of collapse amongst low-tech agriculture societies or more recent examples (such as the hundred of thousands of people dead in flooding in Bangladesh or the earthquake in Haiti, relative to a handful dead in similar incidents like Hurricane Andrew or the San Francisco quake in the US.) In the case of this kind of society, though lower complexity and a greater history of subsistence makes for a lower overall resilience threshold, weak institutions, high dependence on foreign demand or capital, and limited access to technology make for a similarly low max input level and a high variability in experienced conditions.

Non-Resilient Low-Tech Society

That said, for some low tech societies like Bhutan, some hunter-gatherer groups, or newly founded ecovillages based on permaculture, limited reliance on external capital and demand, combined with a high degree of awareness of natural functions and community cohesion, can allow for a relatively higher max input and low variability of conditions while having an even lower resilience threshold than other types of “poor” societies.

Resilient Low-Tech Society


The most resilient type of society may now be available to us for the first time in history, by combining some of the knowledge and capital gained during the industrial build-up of Western society with the de-centralization, integration with natural cycles and high community cohesion of a low-tech resilient society.

The Holy Grail of Resilient Societies

With this model in mind, how do we move toward that holy-grail of resilient societies—ie. high max inputs, low resilience threshold, and limited variability? Below let’s take a look at the specific elements that determine them.

Determinants of Max Inputs

  • Using Everything as a Resource

  • Preservation and Dispersion of Knowledge

Determinants of Resistance Threshold

  • Redundancy and Decentralization

  • Community Spirit

  • Resilient Individuals

  • Conservative estimates about the future

Determinants of Variability

  • Limited reliance on a single resource

  • Limited demands on the surrounding environment relative to what it can provide

  • Feedback

Determinants of Max Inputs

Using Everything as a Resource

For most of human history, max inputs was fairly simple. The sun shone at a certain rate, plants turned that energy into storage at another, and humans could use the energy they got in turn for a fairly narrow range of activity. This put pretty strict limits on how fast and how far we could travel, the kinds of structures we could create, and pretty much anything else anyone wanted to do. Then someone noticed that a horse could do a whole lot more with that energy than a human could. It’s important to see that this change was a psychological one—a recognition of the way that something previously viewed as unknowable chaos could in fact be a part of human order. Windmills, watermills, even ramps (as a way to utilize gravity as a resource) are all examples of ways to harness this expanded recognition of what’s usable.

Forager with burdock root, a significant source of wild carbohydrates

The rapid expansion of fossil fuel use, while radically expanding what we can physically access, appears to have inadvertently pared back what we can access with our minds. During our travels, we met a man who meets nearly his entire diet from foraged greens, fruits and nuts—and this is in England, where most of the productive forests were entirely wiped out. With a little bit of training, the green blur of foliage becomes a buffet and a medicine chest—an example of how maximizing available inputs does not need to imply heavy machinery. Taken from a broader perspective, the ability of natural systems to rapidly break dead matter into building blocks usable for life, to self-regulate water and clean the air, is so astronomical that we seem to ignore it. Incredible work is being done right now to use mushrooms to clean up chemical spills, wetlands to clean sewage, bamboo to literally grow bikes, or simply using the abundance of forests to meet our need for food with minimal work. Similarly, everything we consider waste, from our bodily elimination to our disposable products, could be with a bit of creativity, transformed from a problem to another resource that would expand our max capacity, and hence our resilience. That said, it would be dangerous to ignore the extraordinary power that fossil fuels have presented, nor to ignore research into new sources of energy in the name of simplicity. We’ve won the world’s biggest energy lottery—we should be thinking about how to invest it, not how to spend it.

It’s important to understand that from a resilience perspective, the expansion of usable inputs is only effective insofar as it is not used to further expand demands. The invention of clothing and fire (expanding the max input of heat) would give greater resilience to humans living in a temperate area, allowing for survival in say, a particularly cold winter. However, it also allowed humans to expand into hitherto unlivable areas—even so far as to cross the Bering Straight during the last ice age. For those people, clothing and fire was a source of new dependency, rather than resilience.

Preservation and Dispersion of Knowledge

While technology is often thought of in terms of gadgets, it is better conceived of as the ability to make those gadgets, along with everything else that we use. Even if all the physical capital in the world were wiped out, some amount of rebuilding would be possible insofar as the know-how remained. Much of the decline in living standards during the last stages of the Roman empire occurred as a result of the loss of knowledge—for example, around literacy, math, running water and sanitation. The preservation of this knowledge in select monasteries and successive Arab empires laid the groundwork for the revival of more complex urban centers during the Renaissance. Taking this example, the problem of long-term knowledge preservation cannot be considered only in terms of storage, but more critically in terms of distribution and use.

While the success of the scientific method in terms of creatively adapting to physical laws colors our view of technology and the knowledge behind it, the universal aspirations of physics and experimental science more generally is not the only kind of knowledge. Local societies all around the world have intensive knowledge of their local environment in ways that are traditionally passed down from mother to daughter or master to apprentice (don’t believe me? Go have a pizza in Naples). Knowledge of local plants and animals, as sources of food, medicine and clothing, underlay the ability to create a surplus throughout most of human history. Much of this knowledge came about through careful observation combined with trial and error. Because every place is different, nor every system easily broken down into controllable variables, this kind of knowledge is an essential companion to more recent scientific advances in contributing to our overall “max inputs”.

The internet is incredibly exciting as a means of improving the storage and dispersion of this kind of knowledge, particularly in its open-source/wiki incarnations. I think it is hard for people of my generation (having grown with the internet) to truly appreciate its power. The ability to instantly access meaningful local information, niche how-to instructions, see our specific questions answered via forums, or even entire courses via Khan Academy or the increasingly large online lecture structure, is a revolution. It may seem like a truism, but I still think it’s worth emphasizing that the ability to share information or learn new skills cheaply and across great distance automatically improves the resilience of every society that has access to it, and represents one of the most hopeful pieces of our current civilization. I try to remember that every time I’m looking at cat memes on Reddit.

Determinants of Resistance Threshold

Redundancy and Decentralization

One of my favorite South Park episodes involves the widespread shutdown of the internet, which turned out to have stemmed from the jamming of a massive modem under the Rocky Mountains, that needed to be restarted. Much of what was funny about it is that the internet really doesn’t work that way—a distributed network of servers provides the “backbone” on which the internet is based. This decentralized structure is what gives the internet its resilience—there is no place you can go to shut it down.

A house with its own water, energy and food sources, ie. decentralization. Less efficient, but a lot more resilient.

A similar principle applies to society. It seems common sense that a town dependent on a single doctor will be in trouble when that doctor gets sick (or, more tragically, when that doctor is involved in a multi-car pile-up). Of course, its often impractical to have more than one specialist—but are there ways to duplicate the functions? Imagine that doctor as part of a regional network of doctors, supported by people with training as EMTs, able in a pinch to access a network of instructions and information (or video chat with a specialist) via the internet. Even better, add a high level of health and emergency knowledge to every person in the town so that those crucial first minutes of a stroke or heart attack are recognized.

True redundancy requires not only this type of dispersion, but decentralization. In other words, it doesn’t help much to have a number of doctors, EMTs, and informed citizens if they all ride around in one van together. Similarly, the resilience of your new medical response network won’t be much improved if it relies on a single dispatcher. A researcher for the Rand Corp, Paul Baran, studied the link between decentralization and resilience in the 1960s, in an attempt to understand what kinds of communication networks could withstand enemy attack. His research found that a distributed network was by far the most resilient, and similar research has applied the same model to the distribution of power and water. He made a graphic representation that I think makes the point well.

Distributed networks (whether power, water, information, or decision-making) are more resilient to disruption

The danger of centralization was demonstrated painfully during the US financial crisis. Decades of de-regulation, culminating in the repeal of the Glass-Steagal act, led to the consolidation of millions of small regional banks into the massive banking giants that have become household names today—JP Morgan Chase, Citibank, Lehman Brothers. The argument at the time was that their size and consolidation made them more resilient—that failure in one region could be offset with profits from another. While on one level this may be true, it also set the groundwork for systemic collapse, as problems in one part of the bank set up the entire bank for failure, and because of their massive size within the economy, they became “too-big-to-fail” without disrupting the rest of the system. True redundancy, which assumes limitations on centralization, would have helped to prevent the collapse, and certainly eased the clean-up. In fact, Canada, which has much less centralized and more highly regulated banks was one of the few countries whose financial systems emerged relatively unscathed from the crisis. Centralization similarly led to the rapid collapse of Tzarist Russia during the Russian Revolution—the concentration of imperial bureaucracy in St. Petersburg (and the lack of significant civic structures elsewhere) made it relatively easy for a group of students to seize the country. As the US military has discovered, distributed networks of insurgents in Iraq and Afghanistan have proved a much more resilient target than Saddam Hussein’s conventional Bagdhad based army.

Community Spirit

The idea that humans, put into a state of crisis, will inevitably revert to Hobbesian chaos and selfish destruction has been rigorously debunked. More often, doors are opened, volunteers assembled, and care the rule of the day (though obviously there are exceptions). Whether it’s on a large scale, such as the estimated million people who took part in the clean-up in the aftermath of the Kobe earthquake in Japan, or a local response, such as the 49 out of 50 people saved from the rubble of the Loma Prieta quake in California by 8 nearby construction workers, community spirit and mutual care is the glue that keeps us together when problems appear.  Much has been written on social capital and resilience, linking it to everything from better disaster responsebetter health , economic vibrancy and lower crime and corruption .

The idea of social cohesion can of course be thought of on a broader scale as well. Much of the breakdown of the western Roman empire occurred as the army was progressively converted from farmers to slaves, as inequality and corruption in the empire took a toll on the existence of this “middle class”. The end of this process saw individual officers and patrician families splitting off from the rest of Roman society into armed estates that formed the basis for the feudal economy of the oncoming Middle Ages. Revolutions throughout history, from France to the US to Cuba, Iran and most recently Egypt, have typically been precipitated by significant schisms in the living standards and culture between the bulk of the population and the ruling elite. One of the original works (from 1377) called the Muqaddimah by Ibn Khaldun noted that the life cycle of civilizations often followed the rise and fall of “asabiyyah” or group-cohesion, which is high in nomadic societies, whose ability to help each other and overcome obstacles eventually leads them to conquer larger empires whose citizens have become detached and uncooperative (at which point they become the stationary empire, and the cycle starts over…) If we don’t trust each other and share our lives, we’re not only miserable—we’re weak. When discussing concepts such as income distribution or labor mobility, such notions as community cohesion rarely enter the equation. Perhaps it should.

Resilient Individuals

My fiance’s grandmother comes from another world—one in which moldy-bread was said to be good for your teeth to encourage the children to eat it, nearly half the children died before their first birthdays, and war was a daily reality. Coming out of this hard world, she comes equipped with a radically different skillset than I do, raised on the boom of 90s and the effortless mechanization of the world around me. She can raise, kill and clean her own food, cut, dry and weave her own wool, make soap and all manner of small remedies. If a real crisis hit, the kind where the two days of food on a super-market shelf are insufficient, I am comparatively ill-equipped to do much about it. Now I’m imagining adding all of my friends to the mix—raised on take-out, elaborate theory and ipods. The sad truth is we wouldn’t last long.

Of course, personal resilience encompasses more capabilities than just knowledge. A survey by the University of New Orleans on hurricane evacuation plans found that over 100,000 New Orleans residents (many of whom lived in the areas that experienced the worst social meltdowns) had no means to evacuate: no car, not enough money for a bus ticket, no friends or family who could help them. I’m going to go ahead and guess that a hurricane hitting the Hamptons would have a different effect.

If a system momentarily weakens or breaks down, if the individuals within it are hardy, they can rebuild. A community of weak individuals, unable to provide for themselves or others, unskilled, unhealthy and unhappy, will always struggle, even with some of the other elements in place—but should the system that supports them falter, even for a moment, it cannot be rebuilt, because the people that are a part of it cannot live even a short while without it. A resilient community depends on the resilience of its members. More actively, a resilient community will foster it. Education, health, mobility—by giving these things to our neighbors, we ensure a stronger neighborhood for ourselves.

Conservative estimates about the future

Say you’re planning to go to the airport. It’s about twenty miles from your house, so without traffic it takes about twenty minutes to drive. Then of course there’s checking your bags in, if there’s no line, that’s about ten minutes, then security, again, with no line, another ten. How long before your flight boards do you leave? Would you leave forty minutes before? If the flight is important I know I certainly wouldn’t—there could always be traffic (so maybe forty minutes for the drive is more reasonable) and everyone knows how much of a mess security can be—often when you would never expect it. The more of a buffer I build into my decision, the more “resilient” I am to changes in the world—traffic, closed streets, construction, incompetent check-in agents, a guy ahead of me in the security line transporting hundreds of small liquid-vials of different sizes, etc.

See the period of historically low volatility from 2003 to 2007? That’s what all the banks built their forward looking estimates on

The same principle applies to society, and is one of the driving principles of financial collapse. In the run-up to the Great Depression, excitement about a rash of new technologies (electrification of the countryside, greater adoption of the automobile, improved manufacturing technology) initiated a speculative boom in the stock market, which shot to ever greater heights as people made ever more optimistic assumptions about the future (and whose collapse ushered in a larger breakdown of the entire financial system). The same phenomenon occurred in the 90s, as valuations were attached to companies like “pets.com” to the point at which they would have needed to grow (as a single company!) to larger than the entire current economy to break even. This type of fever often feeds on itself—in the run-up to the most recent financial crisis, banks and speculators looked at data series often as short as three years to form ever-more optimistic assumptions about how likely they were to be paid back on loans, leading to the creation of the now “toxic” subprime assets—which at the height of the bubble were often given out as “NINJA” loans, bank-speak for No income, No Job, No Assets. We know how that ended. Similar dynamics led to the current problems in Europe, as the idea that a euro lent to Greece was the same as a euro lent to Germany led to massive debt booms in the countries of the southern Mediterranean that don’t produce enough to pay it off. One of the leading theorists on financial crises, Hyman Minsky, goes so far as to say that periods of relative calm literally lead to crisis, as memories of the last crisis fade and increasingly ebullient assumptions lead to the extension of more and more bad credit on easy terms (which in turn sustain the illusion of calm growth).

Assumptions about growth are in fact the basis of our entire modern financial system. Your bank account that you think of as “money” is in fact a loan to the bank, which the bank intends to pay back with the loans it makes and the assets it buys (this is why financial crises can escalate so quickly—when people talk about Greece defaulting on their debt, it means average Greek citizens could lose life savings invested in deposits at the banks that own it). Banks can create this money at will—you go to get a loan for a house, the bank approves the loan, and increases your account by the amount of the loan, which then gets paid to the person you’re buying the house from. It may be a hard concept to wrap your head around the first time, but all money under our current sytem is in fact a form of debt. And what is debt but an assumption about the future growth of the overall economy? In this sense, the entire edifice of modern finance (including the retirement investments, home and student loans that determine the shape of many people’s careers and lives) is predicated on the concept that the economy—everything we produce every year, will continue to expand infinitely. For many large financial firms, it is assumed that the growth of the US over the past hundred years (around 1.5% a year taking out inflation) is the “steady-state” of the economy, and a reasonable assumption for any large country over long periods of time.

The question is—is that assumption, built on the peculiar history of the past few hundred years in the West, the financial bubble of them all? Growth is typically presented as an automatic feature of economic life, that we just get smarter and produce more with the passage of time. History, however, presents a much more complex picture—one of empires rising and falling as they exceed the ability to produce food from their land (and overextend themselves with debt), of great centers of learning like Alexandria rising up and disappearing, of entire regions experiencing relative calm growth for a few centuries (the Sumerian and Babylonian Empires in the Middle East, the Roman Empire in Europe, the Han Empire in China, the Omek, Mayan, Aztek empires in the Americas) before dissolving back into village subsistence. As Clive Pointing writes in his Green History of the World, most of modern human history (ie. ignoring the 2 million years of relatively unchanged conditions leading up to the past ten-thousand) has been an arms race between population and food production, with larger populations and more complex societies pushing into less fertile areas and resorting to conquest to temporarily support their growth, then being pared back by disease and famine. As opposed to the view of history as a upward-squiggle towards some ever more beautiful future (a relatively new idea introduced in pieces in Victorian England and the Enlightenment, and implicit in most recent perspectives of history), the reality of much of human experience has been one of testing and returning to a series of natural limits.

Through this lens, the countries of Europe were largely able to break out of this paradigm via two mechanisms—colonialism, which allowed countries to bypass their food limits by passing the problem to their colonies (England was importing nearly all its food as early as the 1800s, while its primary food-producing colonies saw a regression in living standards), and novel ways to turn stored energy from the sun (coal, and then oil) into usable energy. These fossil fuels in turn (oil in particular) were then used to find novel ways to grow more food as colonialism began to break down, a process which ushered in the “green revolution” that famously staved off Thomas Malthus’ and his later imitators predictions of famine. Oil can be considered a form of ecological debt—millions of years of the earth’s saved energy. One barrel of oil is equal to about ten years of human labor—it is difficult to separate what we consider the miracle of economic growth from the massive explosion in energy use during the past two hundred years. Thus far we have not shown the ability to produce meaningfully more in our economy without drawing down on this account—and the assumption that we can continue to do so (or that the technology fairy will save us, to cop a term from Paul Krugman) is built into the financial and social architecture of our daily lives.

To return to our airport analogy—our approach relative to history is the equivalent of waking up twenty minutes before we need to arrive at the airport, begging for money on the corner and being given all of it by a terminally ill philanthropist, finding a taxi across the street for the first time in the neighborhood, high-tailing it to the airport with zero traffic, and discovering not a single person in the security line to get in our way. Yes, it happened once. Probably not a good idea to count on it.

Determinants of Variability

Limited reliance on a single resource

Imagine if tomorrow there was no oil. There’s the first order effects that you couldn’t drive to work, but nor would there be food on the super market shelves for more than two days, or anyone who knew how to grow more. Our houses would be unheated, all our goods suddenly impossible to manufacture, because they relied on plastic parts, or the energy needed to run the machines that made them could not be provided, or the supply chains that brought the pieces together or took them to market no longer moved. Oil is unlikely to disappear tomorrow, but it could become much more expensive, and the thought exercise above gives a sense of just how deeply dependent our society has become.

Nor is this idle speculation. In Ireland, the arrival of the potato in 1570 seemed like a godsend—it contains nearly all the vitamins and minerals needed to survive and is easy to grow and store through the winter. Over 65 years (1780 to 1845) the potato allowed the Irish population to double, from 4 to 8 million, and by that point one third of the Irish population was entirely dependent on the potato for all of their nutrition, and with few other ways or skills to sustain themselves. When the potato blight hit, starvation and disease led to around 1.5 million deaths (around 18% of the population) and another million in emigrants.

Similar tragedies have occurred throughout Africa, Latin America and India as Western colonial powers, corporations and aid organizations pushed farmers to switch from varied subsistence crops to cash crops, first for consumption in colonial home markets, and more recently under the supposedly beneficent mandate of “development”. When the crops failed (often because growing single crops over a large area results in disease and soil erosion) or the global market price dived, mass-starvation occurred in areas that were previously self-sufficient. This phenomenon in turn leads to the creation of the massive slums (with their resultant safety and hygiene catastrophes) on the outskirts of the rising megalopolises that serve as shrines to specialization.

This principle applies similarly to societies dependent on any single form of producing value. Detroit was famous for its reliance on the automobile—nearly every element of the economy, from its advertising, insurance and real-estate to its bartending was in one way or another dependent on the American car-manufacturing behemoths. As these companies withered (and shipped their jobs elsewhere) Detroit’s population shrank by over a million people—over 60% of the population from its peak. The exodus has left behind a wasteland of empty houses where perhaps one old pensioner or family left behind does their best to carry on. The city government has now put in place a plan to eliminate over 50% of Detroit’s streetlights to complete the process of abandonment 

Modern economics would have you believe that labor mobility or transfers from a central government makes this an issue not worth thinking about, but this seems naïve in the extreme. When a community’s ability to create value is lost, what goes with it? Anyone who’s ever moved knows the stress, cost and often pain—not to mention the waste (furniture and household goods dumped only to be repurchased in bulk upon arrival, when the economics of shipping are unfavorable). What about a whole town? Do the elderly, familiar with the streets, knowledgeable about the local community, up and leave along with the young workers that keep the town afloat, departing for unfamiliar places at costs beyond their control? Do the friendships, projects, loves and lore, similarly disappear? Are those left behind, unable to move for reasons of age, disability, or money, meant to disappear as well? This kind of death is neither fast nor easy, and often destroys far more value along the way as crime and desperation escalate alongside it. Nor is the mobility without environmental cost—land ruined and discarded, half-built or abandoned houses with heavy chemicals and piping set into the ground, met on the other side by extreme stress on water or fertility in the areas of ostensible economic boom, along with the emissions and related pollution of transporting all of the goods to these increasingly overbuilt centers of economic power.

Over-reliance on a single crop or resource can allow an economy or population to grow far beyond the general limits of a system—which often looks great when those conditions remain in place. But when those conditions change, that reliance becomes a nightmare. How often do we seek efficiency—or more accurately, the creation of a society perfectly suited to the circumstances and resources that exist in a single moment—over meeting our basic needs in the most resilient way possible?

Limited demands on the surrounding environment relative to what it can provide

The people of Easter Island created a complex society within a remarkably barren world—an island with no fresh water, poor soil, and few animals to speak of, supported a society of around 7000 people capable of quarrying, carving and erecting 20 foot tall (and 30 ton) stone statues and moving them wherever they wished. Both the difficulty and secret of this feat was transportation- which the islanders achieved using felled trees as rollers to move the statues into position. Because the statues were the primary indicator of a chief’s status, competition to build ever larger and numerous statues increased, leading, over a few hundred years, to the complete deforestation of the island. With the trees gone, the soil washed into the sea, leaving the islanders unable to grow the sweet potatoes on which they depended, nor build their houses or the canoes which they used to fish (or escape), nor have fuel to cook. When Europeans arrived in the 1800s, they found a population of 3000 people, living primarily in caves, dependent on cannibalism and barely capable of spoken language. A society can undermine its own resilience by placing ever greater demands on the environment that supports it.

Similar dynamics have led to the collapse of advanced societies throughout history. Nearly all of the major empires of the fertile crescent (Babylonians, Akkadians, Sumerians, etc.) ultimately starved to death as their need for increasingly massive irrigation projects to feed their military and religious elite led to the rising of the water table, which deposited increasing amounts of sodium on the top layer of soil, transforming one of the most fertile areas of earth into a desert of white salt. Through history invading armies were known to salt the fields to prevent anything from growing—in the case of all these early empires, they chose instead to do it to themselves—in effect declaring war on their own children.

The ability to employ fossil fuels has led to this type of self-warfare on a level the Sumerians could never have dreamed. The massive aquifer that supplies fresh water to much of the population of China is close to going dry (after taking millions of years to fill), while a similar phenomenon is taking place with the aquifer that supplies water to the main agricultural regions of the US. In some sense, global warming represents the ultimate example of humans undermining their own resilience on a massive scale. In this case, the overwhelming of a specific environmental service (the atmosphere’s ability to absorb carbon and the ability of plants to recycle it) creates the foundation for environmental destruction at a global level, meaning that unlike past crises, there’s nowhere to go.

Overwhelming demands on the surrounding environment don’t need to take the obvious form of outputs like food or water. Much of the damage of hurricane Katrina in New Orleans came not from the hurricane but from the structure of the city—approximately 50% of the city (making up much of the worst-flooded areas) lies below sea level, requiring large man-made levees whose failure during the hurricane is regarded by most researchers as one of the critical features of the disaster. In this sense, it’s important to visualize environmental dependence not just in terms of resources, but in terms of the deviance from the environment’s “stady-state” and the needed human intervention required to maintain that deviance. Anyone who’s ever driven into Las Vegas knows the eerie way it rises from the desert sands—a phenomenon now repeated across much of the southwestern US and in Middle Eastern megalopolises like Dubai. Building cities below sea level is a good way to end up with a flood, while building them in a desert is a good way to end up with a drought (or starvation, if the ability to import food is ever exhausted). Similarly, as discussed in our last post, building a food-system around mono-crop fields that nature desperately wants to turn into a diverse forest is a good way to end up with famine.

Modern humans lived for over 2 million years (up to about 4,000 years ago) in nomadic gathering tribes, working approximately two days a week to feed and clothe themselves (based on research on the few remaining gathering groups living in Africa and Oceania). This stability and abundance was possible because these societies placed minimal stress on their environment—they had few goods, did little in the way of clearing the land, and were often on the move, allowing the area to recover. Under this arrangement, drought, fire, and other natural disasters were relatively easy to deal with—there was often enough to go around anyway (since the demands were already limited), and should conditions deteriorate further, the group would move. Obviously such a life is no longer possible and it seems to me to be a somewhat silly question (given our modern lens) as to whether it would even be desirable. But what we do get a glimpse of is what a resilient society does and does not look like. When we live on the edge of what an ecosystem can provide, we gamble our future on the ingenuity of our scientists to create something from nothing. Disaster, man-made or otherwise, becomes a question of famine, war and death rather than one of deprivation or flexibility.

Alternatively, designs which reinforce the natural ecosystem make disasters both less likely and less severe. The Green Belt Movement, founded by Nobel Prize winner Wangari Maathai, encouraged Kenyan women to plant trees to rebuild the soil and watersheds of their local areas. Since 1977, over 40 million trees have been planted, which has resulted in the reclamation of significant amounts of land that had turned to desert. Trees, by virtue of their roots, anchor the soil, preventing landslides and erosion, while their trunks act as windbreaks, while they recycye the carbon our industry (and lungs) produce. In this sense, every tree is it’s very own disaster prevention system. Beginning to design our societies, from our homes, transportation, food and industry, to align with natural cycles, rhythms and surpluses, presents a forward looking path toward greater resilience in the context of our modern lives.

Feedback

Imagine a kingdom, ruled by the iron-fist of a drunken king. Vassals come and report a drought, he laughs and asks for more wine. Another comes with reports of barbarians massing on the border, and the drunken king beats him and sends him away. It will not be long before famine and war arrive on the doorstep of the capital, and the drunken king and the society he rules are unlikely to survive. Anecdotal stories from Germany during World War 2 suggest that some of Hitler’s largest strategic errors were a function of his officers’ fear of reporting bad news, and similar dynamics, of poor reporting, limited information, or the inability to act on information given often constitutes the basis of many major crises that could have been averted. Feedback, ie. a system’s ability to incorporate and distribute incoming information, is key to resilience.

Hurricane Katrina provides a particularly poignant example of the need for communication in acute disasters. As Paul McHale, the assistant secretary of defense in the US said, poor communication was the primary culprit of the wider societal meltdown and slow response during Hurricane Katrina. Institutional firewalls led to the military waiting four days to send in any real force, whereas the coast guard, which was more empowered to respond to conditions on the ground, was fully mobilized. Communication between state and local authorities was so bad in the immediate aftermath of Katrina, that engineers sent to fix communication infrastructure were often unable to get past police blockades, while search and rescue teams from nearby areas remained undeployed because of lack of administrative approval. Meanwhile, the collapse of the physical communication infrastructure, in this case phone towers and back-up generators thoughtlessly placed on the ground floors in flood zones, meant that local actors within the city itself were unable to coordinate or understand what was going on.

Feedback need not be limited by poor communication alone, but by an inability to observe the information in the first place. Marie Antoinette’s famous pastry-based dismissal of the starving French peasantry can be thought of as a form of feedback breakdown. Similarly, in our modern economy we rarely see the consequences of our consumption—for most consumers in the wealthier parts of the world, it is always someone else’s river polluted, someone else’s mountain strip-mined, someone else’s children working 18 hour days in a factory, someone else’s famine and civil war from eroded soil. All of these problems, which are quite often the direct consequences of consumption, blend into the constant background noise of hurricanes, tsunamis and wars that feature daily in the newspaper and as such become abstractly unfortunate but really someone else’s problem. In this sense, broader instabilities can build in ways that the individuals responsible cannot viscerally understand, and thus will not avert.

As discussed above, the participant/consumer structure of the internet along with its decentralized structure presents a meaningful hope for how feedback can be improved. Multiple media studies have found that news shows up far sooner on Twitter than traditional news outlets, and with less susceptibility to manipulation (as the Arab spring bore witness). At the same time, this participant generated media has opened up the possibility for distant consumers to better see the consequences of their actions, though it’s unclear whether that feedback will ultimately be used. Combining this production/consumption function with cellphone networks has shown itself as a powerful feedback generator—Indian farmers now share information about seeds, best practices, market prices, and disasters without having to rely on rickety and time consuming transportation infrastructure. The greatly improved nature of feedback is one of the most hopeful signs of how modern development can improve resilience, rather than deplete it.

Looking across these dynamics, it’s hard to ignore the sharp contrast between the contributors to social resilience and the values often prized in our modern system. Efficiency, optimization, specialization are often the buzzwords of the day. This is not idle theorization—these values are rapidly replacing more resilient forms of social life across the world, from villages in rural Africa and China to the close-knit towns of Europe and the US. None of these are easy questions—it may well be that the capabilities gained from technological innovation or the build-up of physical capital gives us a greater ability to respond to crises than they undermine via the system necessary to create them. In other words, a program of radical economic simplification started in the 50s likely never would have seen the birth of the internet, which may ultimately offset the damage inherent in its creation. Nevertheless, if we want to create resilient communities for ourselves and our children, understanding and prizing what contributes to that resilience (and what does not) is a good place to start. We may even find that a society that’s more resilient can be more beautiful too.

A Resilient Ecosystem

Most people have a good natural sense of what resilience means—Muhammad Ali taking punches on the ropes, that old Volvo station-wagon still running at 200k, my mother who never seemed to get sick while working eighteen hours a day as a full-time employee and full-time mom. To get a bit more academic, I would define resilience as the ability to maintain (or quickly re-assemble) a system’s core functions and general arrangement in response to changes. To get a bit more down-to-earth, we’re going to look at forms of resilience in different systems—in this case, the three that seem to most dramatically shape our daily reality—1) our environment, 2) our social connections, and 3) our personal experiences. From an analysis of these three different levels, I will try (over the next few days) to distill general attributes that contribute to the resilience of any system, which will give us a set of principles applicable to choices in our day-to-day lives.

Today’s Topic: Ecological resilience

Are you living in a city? Next time you go for a walk, look at the cracks in the pavement. I’ll bet you’ll find most of them teeming with life—dandelions pushing up between the asphalt, ants pouring out to find the nearest garbage can, perhaps a spattering of pigeon-droppings from overhead. The resilience of life is dazzling—there, covered in concrete, the soil stripped bare, poisoned, and sealed away for miles in every direction, life soldiers on. Ecosystems, broadly speaking, are some of the most resilient systems on earth, in their ability to adapt and re-form in the face of shocks and change. What gives them this power? What kinds of ecosystems are more resilient than others?

Biodiversity—“More is more”

Imagine yourself standing in an open forest, with eyes closed. You can hear a chorus of different birds chattering above you, while bees hum between the trees. The delicate perfume of hibiscus and pine finds your nose. Opening your eyes, a carnival of life greets you. Different species of trees filter the sunlight through their multi-shaped leaves. Large, spongy mushrooms climb their trunks. A clearing opens ahead, ringed by thorny bushes and plump blackberries. Below your feet, ants, beetles, worms and millions of other unseen creatures toil away amid the rotting leaves and dark, rich soil. This is a diverse, and resilient, ecosystem.

 For every ecosystem, there are many functions that need to be done. Pollen needs to be spread from flower to flower. Seeds need to be spread, on the wind, or in the poop and fur of passing (and hungry!) animals. Dead matter needs to be broken down into food for new life, while precious water needs to be held in the land between rains. All of these different functions-pollination, seeding, the cycling of various nutrients, the retention of water, can be done by many different species. Bees pollinate, but so do birds. Different trees offer different varieties of shade, while rabbits, ants and worms take turns aerating the soil, keeping the many other forms of life within it breathing and alive. A wide variety of species leads to a redundancy of functions, such that if any individual species disappears, the overall functioning of the system continues. As with investing, different species will be vulnerable to different conditions. A multitude of species means there are very few changes that will affect them all—a limited number means exactly the opposite.

At the same time, concentration of a single species not only makes an ecosystem more vulnerable to its loss, but actually increases the likelihood of that loss occurring. As farmers have discovered, planting massive fields of single crops is like offering a buffet to the pests that like it. Imagine yourself as a humble cornstalk borer (A nasty type of corn-pest). Life is pretty tough. The cornstalk (more likely corn-like weed) you’ve spent your whole life on may be yards away from the next plant, and perhaps a half a mile from the next clearing where a copse of these corn-like weeds might naturally grow. You’ll have a tough time finding a mate, and if you and your family grow too fast, within a few generations your little copse of corn will die, and you along with it. Now imagine your delight as a chainsaw rips through the trees, opening up before your bulbous eyes a view you never could have imagined (and never could have occurred in nature)—millions of acres of corn, in even rows, all in delightful, easy jumping distance, for you and all of your family for as many fecund generations as you can possibly produce. A similar story plays itself out at the microscropic level with diseases and fungus. This is the dynamic that leads to the never-ending arms-race of modern agriculture: the massive application of ever changing herbicides, fungicides and pesticides to maintain the most basic function, while naturally occurring ecosystems offer a self-regulating balance.

Self-regulation of inputs—“Taking an inch and going a mile”  

Let’s return to that same cornfield (the one assailed by our delighted and virile straw-borer). Massive irrigation pipes (made from metal strip-mined off the top of mountains that once hosted their own vital ecosystems) draw water from miles away to spray in every direction. Because the soil has been turned over (and over, and over) all of the life within it, those worms, ants, mushrooms and bacteria that make the soil dark, dense and ripe for growth, have all been killed. Without them, massive amounts of fertilizer must be brought in from elsewhere—first guano (bat poo) deposits found off the coast of South America in the 1800s, and more recently phosphorous and nitrogen compounds distilled from oil and mineral deposits drilled in countries half a world away. And those herbicides, fungicides and pesticides which need to be bought, re-invented and resprayed every season?

If you notice, most things seem to grow just fine without all of this. Strong eco-systems are able to take a few limited inputs (occasional rain, sun, some minerals in the soil) and construct a radically more complex system. Fungus breaks down minerals and toxins into nutrients usable by plants, or transports needed nutrients from miles away via mycelium and mycorrhiza . Trees provide sugar to the funguses via their roots and dead bodies, and fruits to the animals that, in turn, add their fertilizer to the soil. All plants, with their roots, hold that rich soil in place, shielding it from heavy rains and wind. That soil, held in place over time, forms a healthy mix of sand, clay and organic matter, ensuring that water neither drains too quickly, nor too fast. Forests even create their own climate; trees absorb sunlight that otherwise is reflected off the ground, allowing for clouds to form in the air above—as numerous African countries around the edge of the Sahara found, periods of extensive logging were often followed by years of below-average rainfall. The balanced retention of water and build-up of nutrients over time allows massive forests to grow even in areas of limited rainfall—all of the Southern Mediterranean, now dry hillside spotted with low shrubs and the occasional olive, were once rich deciduous forests.

It is interesting to compare the self-maintaining processes of a full forest to the artificial fields and pastures (types of ecosystems as well, we should remember) which require constant fertilization, first via guano strip-mined off islands in the Pacific (such as Ocean Island and Nauru) and shipped halfway around the world, and more recently through a complex chain of chemical processes dependent on the seamless operation of financial markets, transportation logistics, and available oil. And what of water? The massive aquifers sitting under the Great Plains in the US and the southern rice-growing regions in China, filled by rainfalls over millions of years, are being rapidly pumped dry to meet the irrigation needs of industrial farming, a form of ecosystem design that seems engineered to retain as little water and nutrients as possible in the process of growing food (most of which will go to animal feed). How many people know how to garden without constantly spraying their plants with water pumped from these ancient (and rapidly drying) aquifers or melting glaciers?

In an undisturbed forest every input cycles continually, with very little entropy—every element creates ever more complex nutrients for the others, ensuring that everything, even in death, leads to new life. Early societies often (though not always) understood this process, which was the basis for their nomadic structure, while societies that have ignored it (the Sumerians, the Mayans, and many lost to history) saw their soil eroded and their land turned to dead sand. The process of desertification is in fact one of deforestation—by clearing trees for crop or pastureland, water is no longer retained, the hot sun scorches the ground killing the worms, bacteria and fungi that keep the soil alive and fertile, and the wind blows away the resulting dead matter (otherwise known as fertilizer), leaving behind in a few growing seasons an empty wasteland where once a forest stood. This was the process that culminated in the American dustbowl in the Great Depression, and ravages much of Africa, South America and Australia today.

Resilient ecosystems need little and produce much. What type of ecosystems have we created for ourselves to live in?

 Supportive functions—“Everything has more than one part to play”

As discussed above, every plant and animal in an ecosystem not only sustains itself, but also provides an additional function to the overall stability and growth of the ecosystem. At an ecosystem’s boundaries (or in the wake of catastrophe), pioneer plants like Comfrey stretch deep roots into the barren earth to draw up nutrients that (via their rotting stems) will create a new layer of soil for the less hardy plants that follow, while stands of prickly shrubs like blackberries shield newborn trees from the overeager grazing of deer and rabbits. Those trees, in turn, both anchor the soil with their roots and shield the ground with their leaves, limiting evaporation and allowing for the temperate birth of a dazzling array of insects, plants and microorganisms that each add their own function to the whole, aerating the ground, breaking down previously unusable minerals, spreading seeds and pollinating new flowers. In this way, a forest performs a continual process of creation, self-fertilization and renewal with limited external needs. These self-supportive functions act as an immune system, breaking down poisons, filtering sunlight, shielding wind, culling overabundant species. They also behave similarly to our skin, as a method of self-repair.

What do we do as we cut down the trees, burn the undergrowth, slaughter the animals, till the soil (killing the microorganisms and fungi that give it its richness), and plant massive rows of single crops bred and engineered to perform no function other than a short-growing season, easy harvest by combine and lengthy storage? We are taking living, regenerating, resilient things, and turning them into non-living machines, which need our constant attention, input and maintenance to perform their most basic functions. We are systematically, and often needlessly, stripping away the resilience and abundance that has supported us for millions of years.

While this may sound terrifying (and it should), significant (and often startlingly successful) work is being done in permaculture, agroforestry, and regenerative agriculture that attempts to grow food in ways that recreate and regenerate the fertility and resilience of natural ecosystems. We will be exploring these solutions (particularly what we saw in person on our research trip!) in more depth in upcoming posts.

In the upcoming days, we’ll be taking a look at the features of resilience in social organization, so stay tuned.

Choice as Values, Values as Limits, Limits as Freedom

Reading over the most recent post on values, I realized that it did little to connect those values to the lives we lead. Today I want to give a short addendum on the nature of values, and why they’re so essential as a starting point for constructing the world and the life we want.

What are values, anyway? We all have some, presumptively. There are the familiar biblical variety—don’t kill, don’t steal, or those introduced via philosophy or more recently economics (which exists somewhere between philosophy and religion)—natural rights, or the maximization of utility, the importance of economic growth, etc. We think of values as positive (whatever that may mean), but realistically, they are simply guides to choice. Most often, they play out implicitly, unstated, in the minor choices of our day-to-day lives. Someone may claim to value health, or money, but they will always make the trip to the corner store to buy the next pack of cigarettes or beer. We may say we value the happiness of others, but we may not take the time to actually see, let alone attend to their needs. Our values play out across this story of our lives, in the things we buy, the jobs we take, the routes we walk, the running of our thoughts and the movement of our bodies from each moment to the next. Values, in this sense, are the contours of life. And what is a contour, but a limit?

Limits (as a word) have become deeply unpopular in our society. Ads trumpet unlimited minutes, scientists unlimited energy, politicians unlimited prosperity. But limits are quite literally the foundation of reality. In math, gazing across the vast emptiness of possibility, a circle comes to life as a limit—all points equidistant from a center. Every action we perform or leave undone is a limit—a winnowing down from all the possibilities available to us in that moment to a single, concrete thing, stamped with a heartbeat into the past.

Values are a form of consistent limit. When confronted with a choice—do I kill, do I steal, do I go for a walk, do I watch Game of Thrones, do I buy a new shirt or a hammer or a zucchini, values (implicit or explicit) give me a framework for making that choice, often with some vague idea in mind for what that will imply about the consequences of my action.

Of course not all values, nor the limits they imply, are created equal, and I believe this is where much of the modern day aversion and confusion comes from. Limits, to me, come in two forms—one that is actively chosen (which I think is a better definition of value), and one that is imposed, which is better known as a constraint. People (who are genuinely religious) don’t eat during Ramadan or Yom Kippur or Lent or meditative fasts because of values, people who don’t eat because they cannot buy or grow food do so because of constraints. Both face, in the moment, the same limit, but the application and meaning of those limits change dramatically depending on whether they are consciously chosen.

Because limits are fundamental in everything we do, fear of limits often leads to us running into constraints, constraints that could have been averted through consciously chosen values. We often think of getting what we want as a process of overcoming limits, when in fact it is a process of choosing them. If I want to be healthy, I need to limit all things in my life that are unhealthy. If I want to be rich, I need to limit all the things I do that prevent me from earning money and cause me to spend it. Returning to the example of food, thoughtfully managing the fertility of the soil may mean not eating exactly what we want, when we want it, but that conscious choice averts the later constraint of starvation. The way we choose our personal values (ie. limits) in turn creates the values and limits of the society in which we live. This is the basis of the concept of civil rights and constitutional law, but applies equally well in our day-to-day lives and the moral fabric of our communities. With a strident example, creating a societal value (or taboo) against rape or murder may limit the exercise of ones aggressive impulses, but creates a society in which we as individuals are far less likely to face the (horrible constraint) of sexual or physical violence. But I think the legal vision is too narrow, and in the end insufficiently powerful. During the recent permaculture course we took, all meals were purchased, cooked, eaten and cleaned communally. Because we all entered with a similar set of values (no one would be dominant, all work would be shared, we would avoid typical gender roles, we would look after the well-being of the others before ourselves) we operated in harmony, with everyone getting a fair share and work being done equally, with little to no structure. Obviously this becomes exponentially more difficult as the stakes and numbers become larger, but the basic notion, that a shared set of values, created in the beginning by the open-mindedness of those who came and the positive example set by those who had lived that way before created the social environment we came to enjoy, a function of the values we collectively chose.

There is a subtle and essential point in here, that the values we pick as individuals creates a light for others. We are, for better or worse, imitative creatures (far more than I believe we are “bad” or “good”). Coherence of personal value, actively chosen, performed under difficult circumstances with integrity and without hypocrisy, sets the foundation for more lasting change, because it provides a powerful and potentially overriding example. It may be slow, and it may be laborious, but it is from what I have seen the only way in which anything truly changes. At minimum, it is an essential starting point for creating the life we want, because without it, we will inevitably encounter the constraints we did not choose, and by extension, do not want.

This is why I believe consciously examining and choosing our values is the essential first step to creating the life we want.

Figuring Out What’s Important

By Jake

In order to even start thinking about better ways to live, for ourselves or the broader society, it seems critical to start talking about what we want to value. We came down to four big ones.

In our last long post, we discussed what we see as some of the common stories composing our modern worldview, and why they are no longer (or never were) appropriate for creating systems beneficial for the majority of people or the broader living world. Of course, the big question that comes next, what now!

Beginning to figure out that question was slow. For many, losing faith in the assumptions of daily life and the broader social system we inhabit comes hand-in-hand with some involuntary break—a firing, a divorce, a bankruptcy, an illness, the death of a loved one. I have had the deep fortune not to have been thrust out of my comfortable nest so brutally. Rather, it has instead been a process of creeping uneasiness, alternating between anxiousness and lethargy, with the feeling that the life I was building and the bigger picture I am a part of was in some fundamental way off-track. Pulling up the planks of your own ship at sea, whether you’ve run aground outright or because you see it heading toward distant cliffs (like me), is fraught. It’s the empty space too often filled by fear or blame, emotions that open the harbor to the peddlers of violence, paranoia and apocalypse that seem to wait for exactly these moments. Or when unforced, a deeper apathy. Luckily, I have a wonderful fiancé who has often pushed me to think of things in new ways, and between her challenges, my own observation (though often second-hand through friends, news, documentaries and books) and time, things that looked like the right questions began to form in the empty space where my easy assumptions and day-to-day concerns once lived.

When I started thinking about these things, it was mostly about me. What kind of job would I enjoy more? What would work for having a family? What kind of place would I like to live? What inspires me? The problem with this train of thought is that it will never actually get answers about who we are, because they’re looping in on themselves. If I try to understand what I want to do by asking what would make me happy, I’m really asking who I am. But so much of who I am is a function of what I do and what makes me happy! It’s like trying to drive with your hand on the seat adjuster rather than the steering wheel. When the questions turn outward—what’s not working in the world, what can I possibly try to fix or create—the answers come much easier, or at least they did for me.

Here’s how I began to think about it. It’s a bit on the cerebral side, because that’s how I work, for others (like my fiancé) things would come more in terms of intuition and emotion, so if that’s how things work for you, it may be easier to just dive in and follow the passion. But we have to work with whatever we are! In my mind, the continuum of ideas to action looks something like this:

Values (what is good, what matters in the world)

-> Vision (what do those values imply about the way I would want to live in a general sense and how I should think about the world)

-> Goals (tangible pieces of that vision)

-> Plan (what needs to be done to reach a goal)

-> Action

-> Screw up/Roadblock, and Revision to go back to wherever in that sequence things broke down to start over.

For many, I think confusion in this sequence generates a lot of pain, such as getting locked into goals without considering the bigger vision and values, e.g. pursuing money when what someone really wants is security or respect, or having a vision of living securely without considering if that feeling of security is worth the price of being a monster (not that I think there’s actually a trade-off there—to me there’s no more secure life than a well-fed neighbor). Often it comes from revising at the wrong level—changing a plan (I’m going to re-organize my approach to my job so I fulfill my goal of doing it excellently) when what really needs to change is the goal (I really need a job that will achieve my vision of a more harmonious world).

For me, my actions weren’t taking me where I needed to go—I had hit a roadblock. I was physically sick all the time. My job seemed meaningless—and I felt guilty for thinking so! And when I took the external side of that, as one of the people actually benefiting (in a traditional sense) from the way things are set up, the more I saw that the churning of that process, from the deepest values to the actions that resulted, was at a societal and ecological level creating swathes of destruction across the world, in ways that seemed unjust, and worse, unnecessary.

So I got to work on the first part of that flow, the values. I don’t think most people’s values (in a deep way) are fundamentally that different—most people want to have comfort and safety for themselves and those they love, to feel a part of something bigger, to apply themselves to work that feels meaningful. But how we think about those values, and tell stories about them and celebrate them—that matters quite a bit. And as discussed in the last post, it seemed to me that the bad consequences in the world, that seem overwhelming in their complexity, start with a set of bad stories.

Soon the question of the kind of world I want to live in and the kind of life I want to live became inseparable. The idea that higher walls will protect us from the hunger of our neighbors, or deeper wells from the poisoning of our water, started to sound like nonsense. To me, the most important question became, what are the core things that I see limiting suffering in my life and that of others, or more positively, inspiring joy?

Four things jump out at me:

Resilience: While it’s nearly impossible to foresee and plan for every future event or change, there are attributes that can help a person or system better handle any change, and find fulfillment in the vast range of circumstance that the world tends to offer. Is there anything more beautiful or charismatic than a person deeply secure in themselves and their own competence? Their ability to take whatever the world brings, and make poison into medicine? True resilience is one of the greatest forms of freedom, for ourselves, and for our communities. Without resilience, we are like plants with shallow roots, doomed to flow away with the soil in first fall shower. With it, we are an anchor, to ourselves and all around us.

Connection: I think of all the times I’ve been truly, deeply happy. A laughter filled dinner with my family. Baring my innermost self to my fiance and seeing her do the same. Exploring ideas and cracking jokes with old friends, or finding how much I have in common with new ones. Losing myself in the effortlessness of a great guitarist peeling out an improvised melody, or becoming one part of a giant crowd all enjoying the same note. Reading a great book and feeling like the author is talking right into my mind, making me part of a conversation going for thousands of years, or a living part of an adventure I could never have imagined myself. Seeing the sunlight twinkling on a leaf of a tree and imagining the energy flowing through it fueling my body through its fruit, energy with which I can tend it, and one day, return to its roots through the worms below. Without connection, we are points, without substance or dimension. With it, we are rich, and in fostering it, enriching.

Capacity: The other day I read about breeding cages for pigs, where they are unable to turn around, and continually impregnated until dead. Why does this create such visceral horror? Why are we similarly upset by stories of lives cut short, false-imprisonments, or as the song goes, paradise paved over for a parking lot? To me, while justice may be the instinct (we’re hardwired to hate unfairness), the real horror comes from the stunting of capacity. The pig, stripped to its single breeding function, can no longer live its life of rolling, digging, scratching, and otherwise pushing the experience of pig-ness to its logical conclusion. Similarly, in an untimely death, we are on one hand mournful for the time we can no longer spend together (connection…) but, unlike a hundred-and-one-year-old disappearing into the night with a cigar and a smile, we mourn all that could have been. So much of the joy of life comes from seeing how fast we can run, how much we can imagine, how deeply we can love. Stripped of that capacity, we may still possess the resilience to squeeze from the rind of life its vital juice, but it still seems worth striving to be the best version of whatever it is that we are, and in turn enable others to do the same.

Harmony: I was staring at the three values above, and something seemed missing to me—the concept of balance. A system out-of-balance contains the conditions for its own painful rebalancing—as an animal population finds when it outgrows its food supply, or an economy built on reams of subprime lending or endless blocks of Spanish condos built by German banks looking the other way. Imbalances of nutrients in our bodies lead to malnutrition or obesity (or both). But balance doesn’t quite capture it—harmony is closer to what I’m getting at. Because balance, in my mind, is something between things, this weighed against this, whereas harmony reflects the notion of a person or a thing or an animal in a state of frictionless balance with the entire system of which it is a part. A note is not out of harmony with another note—it’s out of harmony with a scale. A harmonious system is one in which all of its constituent parts can be resilient, connected, and explore their capacities in ways that do not upset the functioning of the entire system. Of course, as with jazz, a little discord creates new forms of sound that could never have been imagined, just as changes to systems often pave the path for new species and ideas. Perhaps similarly, some lack of capacity opens us to empathy, some lack of connection, rest, some lack of resilience, in vulnerability, to love. In all of these things, the right proportionality, even with their opposite, forms a part of that harmony itself. When thinking about what we want to value, for ourselves, for our society, for our world, it is perhaps finally that humility, that I hope to bring myself while offering these as yardsticks, that has to be sprinkled throughout.

These four elements appear to me to be the basis of a just, vibrant society, and incidentally, the same traits demonstrated by healthy ecosystems. Do you agree? Is it worth pursuing resilience at a personal or community level at the expense of material growth? Are vast inequalities of wealth and power a form of disharmony? Does the way society is currently set up, or the way you live your life, something that jibes with these and you find fulfilling, or are there other things that are more important? While we will continue to come back to values in this blog (as I hope to all of my life), we’re ready to move to vision, which means going on the lookout for ideas that foster these values, both in ourselves and in our communities. We may have even found some (oooo, a teaser!) Ciao!

Seeing the Good in the World

Great adventures and great changes require, at some deep level, a leap of faith in the fundamental goodness of the world. That in no way is meant to cloud perception of the cruelty, fear and injustice that so often mark the turns of history or the passage of daily life. Rather, it is in the face of that, to continue believing that kindness and abundance is all around us, because without that belief it will be all that much harder to see. And of course, nearly impossible to inspire.

I will never be a farmer, but now I know more about being a human

by Stefania

5-year-old poop makes a good house for worms (and the best fertilizer for humans)

Experiencing to be on a permaculture site puts everything in context.

There are no existential questions that you cannot answer when you are planting a seed in the ground, respecting and protecting the environment that is feeding and protecting you.

In this eternal circularity of life everything has a sense. It is in the relationship to each other and to the world that we feed our hunger for meaning; alone, out of this planet (in a literal and metaphorical way) we are lost, like a plant with it’s roots in the air, the same way our spirit little by little dries up and dies.

Just the act to put your hands in a soil that has not been killed by pesticides and fertilizers, it’s revolutionary. Discovering that the fertility of the dirt that ultimately feeds all of us on this planet, is given by the worms and all the little creatures and bacteria that live in it and from the poo, not just gives dignity to the denigrated existence of worms (and to poo), but to mine too. Made me see with my own eyes that hierarchies and ranking are really just a product of a human mind, and just there they really exist.

In nature, everyone and everything is fundamental in the relationship that links him or her or it to the other and that ultimately perpetuates life.

There is no top to the eating chain, we are not any more critical to the overall functioning of life itself than worms. Out of this world, not being a part of this perpetuating life system, we have no meaning, and not just that, we are not able to survive.

I come from a world where dirt = dirty, where putting hands in the mud was a bad thing, but I invite everyone to try growing something: flowers, a tree, zucchini, anything. Try to do it with your own hands, try to do it without fertilizers and pesticides, try to do it in a way that leaves yourself and the earth a better richer place than before. Develop a relationship with nature, which we are part of, and it will make you a happier more fulfilled person.

After this experience, I think that I will never become a farmer in the conventional sense, but I will never stop building my relationship with the world that nourishes and makes my life possible. I will be more alive, more aware, more satisfied and fulfilled as a human.